9/19/07

Predictions -- Week 4

Demonstrating exquisite potential for being a degenerate gambler, I turned last week's predictions into 0-5 excrement. Eerily similar to Notre Dame's home record against Michigan State over the preceding five games, this is also a positively Weisish losing streak that has busted a promising 4-2 start to the season.

Season vs spread: 4-7 (.364)

For motivation this week, I have completely fabricated a Matt Trannon slap in the face and shown my team photos of Vegas gangsters planting a Teamsters' Union Pension Fund victory flag on my lawn following last Saturday's losses.

The very ambitious recovery hopes for getting back over 50% this week are printed below. As always, against the ESPN daily lines as of tonight, Sept 20 at 12:41am.

Northwestern @ Ohio State -22.5
Probably zero hope for an upset in this one, but Ohio State has yet to stay even 20 pts in front of anyone in 1-A ball. Leaving aside the eye-opening tanking against Duke last week, NW is still a 2-1 team that beat a Nevada team that looked like a decent mid-major going into the season. That Nevada is no longer looking so promising is due in large measure to NW. Soo....
Northwestern getting 22.5 points.

South Carolina @ LSU -16.5
Steve Spurrier started this season absolutely frigging loaded with returning starters. Yes, I know LSU is fast. Blah, blah... Everybody knows how good one of these teams is. We're just now learning how good the other one is. I think the spread is too generous for a game that could be an eye opening upset.
South Carolina getting 16.5

Air Force @ BYU -11
More elaborate thoughts on what I think of Air Force right here. BYU's narrow loss to UCLA looks less impressive after Utah famously bombed UCLA this last weekend. AF's beating that same Utah team looks all the more interesting. This spread is just plain stupid. Air Force should be the favorite.
Air Force getting 11

Washington @ UCLA -7
UCLA has lots and lots of question marks right now. Washington is exceeding expectations, but not surprisingly isn't as good as Ohio State yet. These teams are even. Washington could win this game.
Washington getting 7

Wyoming @ Ohio +4
Ohio should win this game. Probably even teams and the favorite is a loooong way from home.
Ohio getting 4

UConn @ Pitt -9.5
WTF???? This is a toss up. Pitt is banged up all over the place. The Spartans tried to give a game to them and they wouldn't take it (for the second year in a row). Pitt might win this game, but is still way over-favored.
UConn getting 9.5

Penn State @ Michigan +3
I don't care if it's Eastern Michigan getting only 7 points (a not-unrealistic possibility this season), always, always, always take whomever is playing against Michigan following an uplifting victory in Ann Arbor. Every Wal Mart Wolvie on vacation at a Vegas casino thinks he's smarter than the local odds makers this week.
Penn State giving 3.

No comments: