9/11/07

Predictions -- Week 3

Last week, a nice 3-1, having come within a whisker of 4-0 as Navy nearly stayed with 16.5 of Rutgers. Taking the 8pt dog Oregon, 8.5pt dog Wake Forest and 3.5pt favorite Alabama all covered comfortably.

Season score: 4-2

All games against today's ESPN spreads. This week...

Middle Tennessee State @ LSU -41.0
I watched a little of MTSU's Xbox performance with Louisville last week. About five minutes worth, and I think MTSU put up 21 points on the way to a combined 100 points from both sides. This happened against a Louisville team that is supposed to be one of the best in the nation. LSU will win, of course, but they'll need to score 70 to stay 41 pts ahead of the Blue Raiders.
Taking MTSU and the points.

Hawaii @ UNLV +17
Here, both teams showed trends last week that argue for this game being much closer than 17 pts. First, Hawaii has been historically putrid on the road. They demonstrated this last week in nearly losing to Lousiana Tech. And then there's UNLV, which gave Wisconsin a scare. Unless the Big Ten is really down this year, the story here is that UNLV is probably a tough team at home playing against a shaky group of road warriors. Not even sure that Hawaii gets out of Vegas with a win, let alone one that's better than 17 pts.
Taking UNLV and the points.

Florida State @ Colorado +4
The die-hard MSU Spartan in me wants to believe that FL St's near disaster against UAB last weekend says more about how good UAB is than how sketchy the 'Noles have become. I want to believe this, but I don't. Colorado, on the other hand, is playing much better than last season and I think they have a chance to win this game.
Taking Colorado and the points.

Ohio @ Virginia Tech -20.5
Frank Solich has been steadily building the Ohio team and they can surprise this year. Virginia Tech, outside of famously getting blasted by LSU, got a rather skimpy win against East Carolina.
Taking Ohio and the points.

Ball State @ Navy -7
Navy can score. I took them last week and they didn't cover. I like 'em to do it this week.
Taking Navy and giving the points.

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